Zenith wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:17 pm
Not if you are a bookie, or turf accountant, as they are euphemistically describe themselves. As a one time associate described it, it's the most glorious scheme for depriving the common man of his money ever divised. I disagreed and said that although it was good, government was a much better and complete racket. I see no need to extend the discussion into rival schemes of anarchism or social justice, whatever that may be.
Well they're middle-men injecting themselves into the process and reaping all the benefits and abstracting the risk away. They are not gamblers as such but facilitators which is the correct position to be in generally if you are in the financial services market, legitimately or otherwise. I work for a facilitator during the day on the more legitimate side of things.
Zenith wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:17 pm
"Wisely" is easily defined with hindsight. Had his guardian angel come to him and given him the next five years stock market listings, or had he happened to so place his investments for maximum effect, I doubt you would be describing him so uncharitably, and you wouldn't be messing round with us.
I would have treated him with the same level of disdain that I would have because I know he would have frittered it away as he did with everything else. On top of that I have no respect for chance nor any opinion of someone's outcome there. It's just moot. It is what it is. To change my judgement would show little conviction and moral bankruptcy.
As for "messing around with us", why would that be based on wealth?
Zenith wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:17 pm
Premium Bonds have at some some stages been a perfectly reasonable, tax efficient form of investment, for those tuned up to it. It obviously carries risks. So do banks and government bonds.
They are a terrible investment. They are based on probability. Risk is poorly understood thing. In fact there is a whole financial discipline based around ATR (attitude to risk) which covers this at a meta-level and will probably suggest you're a poor investor based on the heuristics around that and thus not worth bothering with (i.e. the middle man isn't going to make a cut from you). As for the tax efficiency, that's a marketing tool really because it's probably better to pay the tax and earn a lot more with some determinism around it.
Zenith wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:17 pm
Everything we do involves risk in some sense. Buying a house has proved pretty good in most parts of the UK. Marrying has worked out better for some than some than for others, etc. I've never been much drawn to football pools, games of chance, horse races and so on.
Yes and no. You can choose to diversify risk to reduce the total aggregate risk you are exposed to which is the correct approach in investment terms. Also most risk can be nearly entirely eliminated with some research and evaluating what markets you want to enter at any point in time. It requires you to be able to model things though.
Rule 1 in financial services: If someone is selling you a product, it's worth nothing because if it was they'd be collecting all the gains themselves.
Current diversification here is moving my assets into three distinct pools. 40% are in high interest low risk savings account (5.2%), 30% are in defence ETF which is low risk aggregated and 30% in two higher risk investments. I could buy a house with the money but it's making more cash than the house would if I owned it minus the rent, including inflation. And I wouldn't have 60% of the assets then.